Pennsylvania Predictions?
posted by Tofumar 2 months 2 weeks ago • 544 views
Well, my predictions here about the last major primaries turned out to be pretty good (especially the bit about the crotch grenade). So, I thought I'd venture a prediction about Tuesday's Pennsylvania primary.

I think the "bitter" controversy and Obama's debate performance really stalled his momentum. Given that most of the "undecideds" are demographically favorable to Hillary--I'm guessing that they are going to break for her 65/35--that stall is going to prove decisive.

Unfortunately, I think Hillary wins by 12 points.

What do y'all think?







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Aw man, dunno. I'm a Canuck, I'm not even sure how your crazy system works!

But fingers crossed for Obama!


written by calvados  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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Given that the polls in Pennsylvania have been fairly steady during all the controversies for both campaigns, both real and manufactured, I'm guessing Hillz will take PA by 10 points, unfortunately.


written by kronosposeidon  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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I too am a canuck, and I too am keeping my fingers crossed for Obama. May he be the next prime minister of your glorious country! What? What do you mean you don't have a prime minister?

Now where was I? Oh yeah: stay outta my booze!


written by Sarzy  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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It's going to be Ron Paul by 157,729 points! No? Okay then, it will be Hillary with the win. The Clinton/Bush Dynasty cannot be stopped!


written by blankfist  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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As a Canuck, I too will cross my fingers for Obama...How on earth are people falling for Hilldogs bullshit?


written by Fedquip  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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I think Hillary will win, but that it will be by a smaller than expected margin, I think Hillary by 6-8 points.

I'll even put a stake in the ground futher, Obama's gonna sweep the May 6th primaries in NC and IN, with a blowout in NC (nearly 20 point), and a squeaker in IN (1-4 point).

If that happens, Obama will have crossed the point where it's mathematically impossible for Hillary to catch him in the pledged delegates, and then we'll see lots of superdelegates committing to Obama.

I doubt Hillary will stop campaigning until Obama goes well past the 2024 mark with delegates (pledged + supers publicly committed). Probably she'll wait until he's past the margin where MI & FL delegates wouldn't change anything.

Part of me thinks Jon Stewart is right, she'll be at Obama's inauguration waving a sign saying "Hillary for Pres: IT'S NOT OVER!"


written by NetRunner  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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What does the winner get? I'm guessing 13. Anything less than 65% is a loss for sHillary.


written by dystopianfuturetoday  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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"As a Canuck, I too will cross my fingers for Obama...How on earth are people falling for Hilldogs bullshit?"

the same mechanism by which they will fall for Obama's

Change does not come with a candidate, it comes with disruption of the current paradigm.....unfortunately, most are willing to continue sleeping soundly-

lessseee, who would make a good president???........

Nobody can fix things and make them righteous for everyone
Nobody can provide reasonable health care for everyone
Nobody can stop the runaway freight of the Military Industrial Complex
Nobody can insure basic rights to all peoples
Nobody can repair the damage done for the last 60+ years by the Education system in the U.S.
Nobody can insure fairness in the corporate mechanism
Nobody, and I mean Nobody, can do a goddamn thing about the deficit....
So, guess who gets my vote????


written by choggie  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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and the circle-jerk continues......


written by choggie  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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I'm going to go out on a limb of poison oak and say that Obama wins Pennsylvania, but barely.


written by Fjnbk  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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Hillary by 10 points and the pain will continue ...


written by dag  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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I'll bet a CFR member will win it.


written by Constitutional_Patriot  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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^ Creedence Fearwater Revival?


written by dystopianfuturetoday  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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Haven't you folks been keeping up with politics at all? Really.
I've got Edwards by 10%. And, Romney's a lock on the republican side.

^choggie,
Nobody can fix things and make them righteous for everyone
Nobody can provide reasonable health care for everyone
Nobody can stop the runaway freight of the Military Industrial Complex
Nobody can insure basic rights to all peoples
Nobody can repair the damage done for the last 60+ years by the Education system in the U.S.
Nobody can insure fairness in the corporate mechanism
Nobody, and I mean Nobody, can do a goddamn thing about the deficit....
So, guess who gets my vote????

Dan Quayle?


written by snoozedoctor  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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Sadly, I share Choggie's feelings to some degree. What gives me hope about Obama is that I sense sheer terror in the media and from corporate Republicans and Democrats alike. Does this mean he is a threat to the cabal of international billionaires who control our country? I don't know, but it's the only game in town, so I'm willing to buy the lottery ticket and see what happens.

I agree that it is the masses who must force the paradigm shift, hence my avatar, but I do think a dynamic leader can give us the inspiration and institutional support we need to do so. Obama might be just the guy to do it. He has yet to be beaten down and broken by the system like McCain and the Clintons, so for the moment I'm going to indulge in hope over fear.

I think the internet is already changing the paradigm and inflicting some serious wounds on the mass brainwashing tool the is television. The internet allows us to speak freely in large numbers and to reject bullshit when we see it. In our own small way, even we here on videosift are creating our own programming, not based on ad revenue, institutional pressure or corporate profits, but rather our own values.

Call your cable company and cancel right now.


written by dystopianfuturetoday  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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Hillary by 4-6%, but then Obama wins in NC and IN the following Tuesday and finally mass superdelegate pledges including a John Edwards endorsement following a landslide victory in North Carolina.


written by uhohzombies  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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Hillary by a very small margin, I don't know about you but I think the bitter controversy was a circle jerk by the media. If enough people heard it for what exactly is, they will understand what Obama really meant. Hillary already lost, all shes doing is eroding a democratic majority win in November 2008.

This is not a war between candidates simply but a war between two very different schools of political thought, old and new. The old way is Rovian and Hillary, partisan and divided, while Obama is trying for something more uniting. So far I feel he is the only candidate that dares to speak the truth, he needs to do that more. His last debate was exhausting and he was not in his best form, I think hes not used to fighting out in the gutter like Hillary is.


written by Farhad2000  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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I think Hillary will lead by one but commit a technical foul and Barack will get it to overtime by making the freethrow.


written by maatc  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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I'm changing my guess based on new polls. Hillary by 6.


written by dystopianfuturetoday  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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Hillary by 3, but stick a fork in her she's done. Slamming Moveon? Reeall smart.


written by winkler1  | 2 months 2 weeks ago | CH
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>> ^winkler1:
Hillary by 3, but stick a fork in her she's done. Slamming Moveon? Reeall smart.


That in particular has me infuriated. Doesn't she remember that MoveOn.org was originally "Censure, and Move On", a group dedicated to trying to defend President Clinton from the vast right wing conspiracy's attempt to impeach him?




written by NetRunner  | 2 months 1 week ago | CH
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that's right NR, move on looks fishy (a clinton front)and when the smell begins to go baitshop, she disassociates herself with them...

how many ways can she be called the absolute evil cunt that she is???
Poison for America


written by choggie  | 2 months 1 week ago | CH
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I say Clinton by between 8 and 10 points.

Please send my prize in the form of cash- Canadian or Euros preferred.


written by therealblankman  | 2 months 1 week ago | CH
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